Richard Picard

Education

• Ph.D., Applied Statistics
• University of Minnesota

• B.A., Mathematics
• Carleton College

Positions

• 1981 - Present | Member of Statistics Group

Publications

• "Rare Event Estimation for Computer Models,'' The American Statistician 67, 22-32, with Brian Williams (2013).
• "Quantile Estimation for Radiation Portal Monitoring,'' Technometrics 55, 94-102, with Tom Burr and Mike Hamada (2013).
• "Ensuring Finite Moments in Monte Carlo Simulations via Iterated Ex Post Facto Sampling,'' Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 79, 2106-2121, with Tom Booth (2009).
• "Computer-Aided Diagnosis with Potential Application to Rapid Detection of Disease Outbreaks,'' Statistics in Medicine 26, 1857-1874, with Tom Burr, et. al. (2007).
• "Importance Sampling for Simulation of Markovian Physical Processes,'' Technometrics 47, 202-211 (2005).
• "Accelerating Convergence in Stochastic Particle Dispersion Simulation Codes,'' Journal of Computational Physics 173, 231-255, with Mark Fitzgerald and Mike Brown (2001).
• "Exponential Convergence of Adaptive Importance Sampling for Markov Chains,'' Journal of Applied Probability 37, 342-358, with Keith Baggerly and Dennis Cox (2000).
• "Monte Carlo Transition Dynamics and Variance Reduction,'' Journal of Statistical Physics 98, 321-345, with Mark Fitzgerald and Richard Silver (2000).
• "Adaptive Importance Sampling on Discrete Markov Chains,'' Annals of Applied Probability 9, 391-412, with Craig Kollman, Keith Baggerly and Dennis Cox (1999).
• "Calibrated Seismic Verification of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty,'' Journal of the American Statistical Association 87, 293-299, with Maurice Bryson (1992).
• "Significance Tests for Saturated Orthogonal Arrays,'' Journal of Quality Technology 23, 79-89, with Ken Berk (1991).
• "Data Splitting,'' The American Statistician 44, 140-147, with Ken Berk (1990).
• "Cross-Validation of Regression Models,'' Journal of the American Statistical Association 79, 575-583, with Dennis Cook (1984).
• "Statistical Methods for Nuclear Materials Safeguards: An Overview,'' Technometrics 24, 267-294, with Aaron Goldman and Jim Shipley (1982).
• "The Influence of Substrate on the Growth and Morphology of Myriophyllum Exalbescens and Myriophyllum Spicatum,'' Canadian Journal of Botany 58, 1111-1118, with Susan Aiken (1980).