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September 29, 2026

Valley fever’s far-flung travels captured by machine learning

Los Alamos scientists study the genomes of fungi in complex environments to understand their impact

Lymph node tissue with spherical structures of coccidioides immitis in various stages of development. The pathogen causes valley fever, an underdiagnosed lung infection most common in the Southwest that's spreading to other regions. Credit to: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Public Health Image Library

In recent years, valley fever cases have been increasing in an expanding range of locations around the world. Because the noncontagious lung infection is caused by two different species of fungi in the coccidioides genus, scientists need to know more about which fungi are causing disease and where.

In a recent publication in the journal Ecology and Evolution, Los Alamos scientists are using machine learning to analyze genomic data about coccidioides fungi to create a better network for understanding its disease spread.

Read the paper 

Why this matters: Using genetic data, scientists can improve their ability to identify the source of an infection, especially when it happens in an area where valley fever is not endemic. In addition, travel history can aid in mapping endemic regions for coccidioides and better inform mitigation efforts.

valley fever plots for fungi species
Plots showing the broad-, moderate- and fine-scale networks in geographic space for both coccidioides species using reported locations for latitude and longitude points. Credit: Cari D. Lewis et al., Ecology and Evolution, CC BY 4.0

What they did: A team of Los Alamos scientists used publicly available whole genome data for both coccidioides immitis and coccidioides posadasii (the two species of fungi that cause valley fever) to assess the applicability of a genetic network analysis pipeline.

  • The team identified hierarchical population structure between and among the two species, inferred relationships among fungi populations and assessed patterns of travel-acquired infections.
  • This understanding helps infer where infections originated, especially those that are found in non-endemic locations.

Funding: Los Alamos National Laboratory supported the work through its Laboratory Directed Research and Development program.

LA-UR-26-28658 

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