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Energy is the life-blood of the
U.S. economy. Today our energy sector is facing unprecedented
change, such as states restructuring electricity markets, and
the consideration of new legislation to control carbon, mercury,
and particulate emissions, oil and gas drilling in sensitive
areas, and pipeline safety. The recent boom in the "new
economy," which features a rapid rise in Internet and E-commerce
firms, relies heavily on reliable and abundant electricity.
In California this boom has contributed to supply and demand
imbalances in a newly restructured electricity market with a
subsequent rapid and unexpected rise in wholesale electricity
prices. Coupled with rising oil and natural gas prices, this
situation indicates a time of high volatility in energy markets
in the U.S.
Government and industry decision
makers are faced with increased unknowns and complexities as
they attempt to establish sound policies to track and manage
rapid energy market changes. Fortunately, D-4 is developing
new analysis tools that can capture the interaction of humans,
markets, and physical infrastructure systems in simulations of
complex energy systems. We leverage significant computational
resources and state-of-the-art software to build these simulations.
The
energy analysis projects in D-4 involve the modeling and analysis
of various energy supply systems, both domestic and international.
These
analyses are used to forecast resource production and consumption
using different assumptions and constraints. Studies are also
done to determine the impact of changing technologies, such as
the introduction of environmentally friendly processes, and the
impact of changing regulations on energy supply.
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